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Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Sequencing of a Top” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Sequencing of a Top”

Highlights In this note, we discuss the three-step sequence that we track when monitoring a topping or bottoming...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Gradually, Then Suddenly.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Gradually, Then Suddenly.”

Highlights As I have been prone to say over the years, bear markets don't just happen all of a sudden, any more than...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Nothing Has Changed, And That’s The Point.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Nothing Has Changed, And That’s The Point.”

Highlights We want to get past this period of volatility and uncertainty as much as anyone, but until the data as we...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Patience is a Virtue & Data is the Driver.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Patience is a Virtue & Data is the Driver.”

Highlights Those who have been short-term tactically bullish are now in the crosshairs of broken long-term structure. ...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Some Green Shoots in the Arid Equity Desert.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Some Green Shoots in the Arid Equity Desert.”

***** The note below was written before the overnight trade developments. The S&P is now just above the 5800 zone, and...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Body Punches, Leg Kicks, & Knockout Blows.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Body Punches, Leg Kicks, & Knockout Blows.”

Highlights To expose their opponent's chin for a knockout punch, MMA fighters often soften them up with annoying but...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.”

Highlights The market has rallied nearly 15% since the April lows, and as a result, 85% of the roughly 2900 MOTR...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Understand the ‘What’, Care Less About the ‘Why’.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Understand the ‘What’, Care Less About the ‘Why’.”

Highlights The MOTR Risk Gauge continues to deteriorate for both the US and the globe, ex-US. We can do one of two...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Still Defensive, But Our Eyes Are Open.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Still Defensive, But Our Eyes Are Open.”

Highlights Our best-case scenario is that the market retests, if not undercuts, last week's lows before we can consider...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “You Don’t Know the Future, Only the Present.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “You Don’t Know the Future, Only the Present.”

Highlights Our Risk Gauge has down ticked into "Risk Off" in the monthly (MT) timeframe, confirming what it has been...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “A Message to Long-Term Investors.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “A Message to Long-Term Investors.”

Highlights I believe we have enough evidence on hand to eliminate the "Risk On" scenario, leaving us to prepare for...

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “No Longer Oversold, But Still Broken.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “No Longer Oversold, But Still Broken.”

Highlights The market has gone from being broken and very oversold to broken but no longer oversold. Unable to...

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