Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Exponential Confidence, Mean Reverting Outcomes.”

Highlights

  • Enthusiasm for current market leadership is growing increasingly exuberant, resembling late '99/early '00 bubble behavior.
  • All the while, systemic fragility continues to build as "the smartest investors in the room" appear to be repeating the same mistakes of prior cycles.
  • For now, strong earnings and revenue growth with concomitantly expanding margins continue to feed the hungry animal spirits.
  • As we have emphasized, this dynamic is very bullish...until it isn't. We remain long leadership, but also short within the. . .

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