Are you positioned correctly for the next market move?
The MOTR Risk Gauge, built on principles that have guided investors through bull and bear markets for over 35 years, provides unbiased clarity in a noisy investment landscape. Here’s where it stands for the upcoming month…
Wednesday, April 1st, 2026 – Yesterday was an important day in the market, not only because it marked the end of the month, but also the end of the first quarter of 2026. Therefore, the Risk Gauge reading is even more crucial, as the quarter-end reading helps set the stage for the environment heading into the next quarter, the same way it does for the monthly and weekly timeframes. With yesterday’s rally, the US Risk Gauge ticked back up into ‘Risk On’ in the LT timeframe, which, as of March 23rd, had been at the top of ‘Mixed.’
The other major development during March was the rapid deterioration that occurred in the ST gauge, which is now in ‘Risk Off.’ Since the longer-term gauges still read ‘Risk On’/’Mixed’, this suggests that oversold short-term conditions should be respected. Therefore, we should expect a bounce in leadership groups that have become oversold, including Precious Metals, Industrial Metals, Capital Goods, Transports, Biotech, and Semis.
Yesterday and today are proof that the market is not ready to fall apart. However, if the next overbought condition occurs before the prior damage is repaired, we will be in an overbought ‘Mixed’ regime that favors covering some longs and adding short exposure into resistance, if you are inclined.
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