Are you positioned correctly for the next market move?
The MOTR Risk Gauge, built on principles that have guided investors through bull and bear markets for over 35 years, provides unbiased clarity in a noisy investment landscape. Here’s where it stands for the upcoming month…
Monday, December 1st, 2025 – November brought headlines about record NVDA earnings, shifting interest rate cut expectations, September job reports, and constant debate about whether the market is in a bubble. Despite the noise, the S&P ended the month up 20 basis points. It is easy to get caught up in the hysteria that drives these headlines, but we prefer to focus on the time-tested MOTR Risk Gauge for proper market context. The latest reading has ticked up from last month and now shows all timeframes sitting in the upper half of Mixed.
This is not an ultra bullish reading since no timeframe is in Risk On, but just as importantly, it is not bearish either. With that backdrop, we continue to concentrate on leadership groups, especially those that pulled back in November yet still carry strong longer-term momentum scores. That leads us to Biotech, Precious Metals, Semiconductors, Industrial Metals and Clean Energy. Many ideas in these areas were featured in the Swing Trade Portal last month (here), and we will keep offering them as long as the data supports buying these setups.
As we move into the final month of 2025, we remain bullishly positioned inside leadership groups, yet we also maintain ample short exposure in laggards as market divergences widen. We cannot pinpoint when these longer-term divergences will finally matter, but we believe leadership will turn meaningfully more defensive before that occurs. For now, we stay long leaders and short laggards, ready adjust when the data tells us it is time.
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