Are you positioned correctly for the next market move?
The MOTR Risk Gauge, built on principles that have guided investors through bull and bear markets for over 35 years, provides unbiased clarity in a noisy investment landscape. Here’s where it stands for the upcoming month…
July 1st, 2026 – The narrative has seemed to shift from are we in a bubble or not? to when is this bubble going to pop, and was that most recent high the final one? Luckily, as Technical Analysts and Trend Followers, we recognize that having an opinion or prediction on when and where that outcome might occur is insignificant compared to what the market thinks and will actually do. The difficulty with these environments is that they can persist far longer than most expect or forecast.
So, in a scenario that is difficult to forecast, not only because these environments are volatile by nature, but also because we only have a handful of bubbles to compare them to, we still need a structure to help us navigate them. As we’ve stated before, the Risk Gauge and trend structure are our compass, and until that compass points south (which it currently isn’t), we remain engaged in leadership, understanding there is going to be a lot of volatility and plenty of headlines trying to knock us off our process of simply listening to the market. As of right now, the market is signaling to stay engaged because even if there is a pullback, the structure remains intact, suggesting it should be bought.
In our work, Semis and IT Hardware remain the top two MOTR Groups. However, a recent development to watch has been the broadening out within the Health Care space, where you’re seeing participation not just from Biotech and Pharma, but also from HC Services, Managed Care, and HC Equipment & Supplies.
We highly recommend checking out our presentation from May titled We’ve Seen This Movie Before at the Boston CMT Spring Summit, which we later turned into our June Monthly MOTR Checkup video. We just posted it to our YouTube channel, which you can watch (HERE), to see why we’re categorizing this as a bubble and how we’re managing the craziness unfolding. We hope you enjoy it!
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