MOTR Research Headlines
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Weight of Evidence Stacks Against ‘AI’ Stocks.”
Highlights We continue to lose AI linked MOTR Groups from the Top 10 Leaderboard, with Semis the most recent to fall from grace (now #12, down from #4 last week). The Risk Gauges for the three horsemen of the AI trade--Semis, IT Hardware, and Capital Goods--are now all in the bottom half of...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Defense Takes the Lead.”
Highlights We haven't entered broad-based equity selling, with 16 of 28 MOTR Groups finishing higher last week and the U.S. Risk Gauge remaining in 'Risk On' in the Long-term, despite significant weakness across previous AI leaders. Defensive leadership is improving as money rotates out of...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Defensives Lead the Charge Again Today.”
Highlights On the surface, today's surge in the S&P would seem to indicate that the market liked what it saw in the mid-term results, clearing a path for historically bullish seasonals to lift equities into year-end. While we don't dismiss this conclusion (indeed, we are positioned for...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Semis & IT Hardware Momentum Scores Slip.”
Highlights Semis and IT Hardware have been the two dominant MOTR Groups of this AI themed bull market. We lost IT Hardware from the leaderboard a couple weeks ago, and this week, Semis have fallen from the #1 perch. Perhaps we are threading the needle here, but we think there is still...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Rotation Across the Board.”
Highlights The S&P 500 declined -0.93% in October while the average stock in the MOTR Universe fell just -0.17%, with Technology and the MAGS experiencing considerably more weakness as market rotation accelerated. Healthcare Services took over the #1 MOTR Group ranking, Software jumped...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Weight of Evidence Stacks Against ‘AI’ Stocks.”
Highlights We continue to lose AI linked MOTR Groups from the Top 10 Leaderboard, with Semis the most recent to fall...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Semis & IT Hardware Momentum Scores Slip.”
Highlights Semis and IT Hardware have been the two dominant MOTR Groups of this AI themed bull market. We lost IT...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Under Distribution Despite New Recent Highs.”
Highlights With supportive seasonals through at least December, and with the S&P less than -3% from its highs, we...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Defense Takes the Lead.”
Highlights We haven't entered broad-based equity selling, with 16 of 28 MOTR Groups finishing higher last week and the...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Rotation Across the Board.”
Highlights The S&P 500 declined -0.93% in October while the average stock in the MOTR Universe fell just -0.17%,...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “No Change, and that’s the Point.”
Highlights The ST Risk Gauge improved from 7 to 5 as the market became less oversold, but the repair was driven by...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “When Mr. Market Speaks, We Listen.”
Highlights We have recently advised two things: the market was very oversold and should rally, and if that rally...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Too Late for Bulls, too Early for Bears.”
Highlights We have been closely monitoring the quality of market action as the S&P scores new highs, and we don't...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Bullish for Q4, but Head on a Swivel.”
Highlights Market internals are deceptively oversold, setting the stage for a strong Q4'26 seasonal window. We are...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Please Remove Your SOXX!!”
"Please Remove Your SOXX!!" The market has resolved its oversold condition with nearly 70% of stocks back above...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “The Thread Through the Maze.”
"The Thread Through the Maze." Presently, there is so much to be bullish about. Presently, there is so much to be...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Keep Calm and Carry On!”
"Keep Calm and Carry On!" Despite all the macro concerns, and even with the impending seasonal market weakness of...