MOTR Research Headlines
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Breadth Improves, Quality Set to Mean Revert.”
Highlights Although market breadth is indeed improving, it has not yet impacted the Risk Gauge, which remains in the top half of Mixed in the medium-term. This means that there are still plenty of charts to short, despite this improvement. From here, we can only track towards one of...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Health Care Becomes #1 Sector.”
Highlights Health Care is now our #1 ranked sector, with broad participation across Biotech (#5), HC Services (#7), and Pharma (#10), reinforcing the strength and breadth of the sector's advance. Our focus remains on whether leadership responds positively to oversold conditions, if Health...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out.”
"Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out." Asset bubbles are nothing more than story telling. Like every story that has been told over the millennia, all asset bubbles have their narrative, heroes, villains, and monsters. They also have their fences, which at least temporarily protect the story's...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Tactical, But Still Bullish.”
Highlights There is plenty of reason to expect recent turbulence to persist in the weeks ahead. How one responds to this period should be determined by their timeframe, not the thickness of their stomach lining. During impending volatility, long-term investors should ramp up their...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Short-Term Uptick Aided by Health Care.”
Highlights Despite weakness in the large-cap, tech-heavy indices last week, strength across mid caps, small caps and micro caps pushed the Short-Term gauge back into 'Risk On', reinforcing our view that this leadership pause is healthy as long as longer-term uptrends remain intact. Health...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Breadth Improves, Quality Set to Mean Revert.”
Highlights Although market breadth is indeed improving, it has not yet impacted the Risk Gauge, which remains in the...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Tactical, But Still Bullish.”
Highlights There is plenty of reason to expect recent turbulence to persist in the weeks ahead. How one responds to...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Long ‘Rockets’, Short ‘Bombs’.”
Highlights If the entire market was represented only by today's leadership, we would be quite comfortable labeling this...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Health Care Becomes #1 Sector.”
Highlights Health Care is now our #1 ranked sector, with broad participation across Biotech (#5), HC Services (#7), and...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Short-Term Uptick Aided by Health Care.”
Highlights Despite weakness in the large-cap, tech-heavy indices last week, strength across mid caps, small caps and...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Leadership Intact and Getting Stronger.”
Highlights Leadership remains firmly intact, with Semis and IT Hardware now ranked #1 and #2 out of 28 MOTR Groups and...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Did You ‘Really’ Expect This???”
Highlights Today was one of those "test your mettle" days...did you really mean it when you said, "I understand I will...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Hedge Fund Nirvana Day.”
Highlights The S&P's uninspiring +0.14% performance today masked a nearly perfect day for trend following...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The End of the Beginning.”
Highlights The 1998-2000 surge in the NDX and SOX indices provide ample reminder that investor risk appetite, when...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “We’ve Seen This Movie Before.”
"We've Seen This Movie Before." I recently had the privilege of presenting at the CMT Boston Spring Summit on May 15th, and...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.”
"Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations." We all know that stocks are volatile, but still, we behave as if we didn't...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear…”
"If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear..." Conditions today mirror those of most environments that result in...