MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “AI Hype Trade at Critical Juncture.”
Highlights Market averages appear calm, but sharp internal rotations are occurring, with AI-related industries plunging while areas like staffing, refiners, and exchanges surge. Overall market structure remains healthy; leaders are now oversold and testing support, making selling less...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “10-yr Yields Threatening Break Above 5%.”
Highlights The 10-year Treasury yield is approaching 5%, but the preferred strategy remains buying bonds near 5% and selling near 3.5% until the trend definitively changes. Despite rising rates, growth stocks continue leading value stocks since ChatGPT’s 2022 debut, breaking the...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Defensive but not Deadly.”
Highlights Defensive rotation continued beneath the surface, with Technology weakening, Utilities and Real Estate strengthening, and the U.S. Risk Gauge holding just shy of 'Risk On'. While MAG7 earnings and this week's Fed decision could drive volatility, we remain focused on the Risk...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Nothing ‘Semi’ About This Leadership.”
Highlights Semiconductors tested key support on Friday; extreme oversold breadth within a strong uptrend creates favorable risk/reward. The MOTR Risk Gauge for Semis remains firmly Risk On, with semiconductor long- and medium-term trends highly bullish. Over half of semiconductor...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Buying Oversold Tech.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge remains just shy of full Risk On as leadership pulls back, with rotation into Banks, Insurance, Transports, Health Care, and REITs keeping overall market conditions healthy. Financials and Industrials swap positions as Banks and Insurance boost Financials and...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “10-yr Yields Threatening Break Above 5%.”
Highlights The 10-year Treasury yield is approaching 5%, but the preferred strategy remains buying bonds near 5% and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Nothing ‘Semi’ About This Leadership.”
Highlights Semiconductors tested key support on Friday; extreme oversold breadth within a strong uptrend creates...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Weakness for Leaders to Create Buy Setups.”
Highlights July gains in the S&P mask weakness across leading groups, including Semis, Metals, Hardware, Capital...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Defensive but not Deadly.”
Highlights Defensive rotation continued beneath the surface, with Technology weakening, Utilities and Real Estate...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Buying Oversold Tech.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge remains just shy of full Risk On as leadership pulls back, with rotation into Banks,...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Financials Moves into the top 4.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge remains just shy of Risk On, leaving us bullish enough to not be bearish. Market...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Playing One Swing at a Time.”
Highlights Like in sports, navigating difficulty requires staying focused on what is happening now, not on what...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Did You ‘Really’ Expect This???”
Highlights Today was one of those "test your mettle" days...did you really mean it when you said, "I understand I will...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Hedge Fund Nirvana Day.”
Highlights The S&P's uninspiring +0.14% performance today masked a nearly perfect day for trend following...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out.”
"Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out." Asset bubbles are nothing more than story telling. Like every story that has been...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “We’ve Seen This Movie Before.”
"We've Seen This Movie Before." I recently had the privilege of presenting at the CMT Boston Spring Summit on May 15th, and...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.”
"Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations." We all know that stocks are volatile, but still, we behave as if we didn't...