MOTR Research Headlines
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Construction Materials Building Momentum.”
Highlights Market rotation strengthens, with investors favoring cyclicals and smaller caps despite MAG7 weakness. Construction Materials climbs the MOTR ranks, showing improving momentum, breakouts, and broadening uptrends. Group offers fresh idea flow, joining Energy and Chemicals as...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Industrials Wins, A Look at Clean Energy.”
Highlights Continued underperformance from the MAGS reinforces our view that this environment favors mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks, with momentum continuing to flow toward more speculative “hype” names, as reflected in the strength of IWM, IWC, and MDY. Friday’s rally was enough...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “At Support, Leadership Oversold.”
"At Support, Leadership Oversold." Today's CMI offers a quick tactical update on market location and breadth. We have been focused on the projected Monthly Momentum Zone (MMZ) as likely support for the S&P during this bout of weakness. Figure 1 presents an update of the S&P MOTR Blocks...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “What the Fractal, Bitcoin?”
Highlights Bitcoin’s current top fractally mirrors the 2022 peak with similar clear momentum divergences. Our momentum ranks have also plunged for the MOTR Crypto industry, disqualifying those stocks from the STP for now. This latest breakdown implies a ~$50K downside target and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost momentum in low‑beta mega‑caps driving the weakness in cap-weighted Risk Gauge...something to monitor going forward. Breadth not yet oversold; more weakness likely before...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Construction Materials Building Momentum.”
Highlights Market rotation strengthens, with investors favoring cyclicals and smaller caps despite MAG7 weakness. ...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Focusing on Energy & Chemicals, Again.”
Highlights S&P is wrestling with major resistance while breadth remains ok, but not great; continued stalling would...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Industrials Wins, A Look at Clean Energy.”
Highlights Continued underperformance from the MAGS reinforces our view that this environment favors mid-, small-, and...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Focusing on Change at the Margin.”
Highlights January closed with broad gains across equities, while the U.S. MOTR Risk Gauge remained largely in Risk On...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Energy Moves Up the Leaderboard.”
Highlights The large-cap versus small-cap divergence remains unresolved, with QQQ, MAGS, and SPY lagging prior highs...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Dollar Breaks, Global Risk Wakes.”
Highlights The U.S. dollar has broken major chart support again, but it is now sitting just above its 2026 Yearly...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Warning Shots from Chemicals & Staples?”
Highlights We monitor marginal shifts in leadership to adapt exposures gradually rather than making abrupt regime...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “‘New Era’ Leaders Trending, Very Oversold.”
Highlights Despite the recent volatility, 'New Era' industries are still in uptrends broadly speaking, with very...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Ok for now, but potential rumblings of worse things to come.”
"Ok for now, but potential rumblings of worse things to come." Friday's reversal in leading 'New Era' industries was...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast.”
"Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast." With Wall Street strategists publishing their market forecasts for...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Navigating Complexity with Master Oogway.”
"Navigating Complexity with Master Oogway." Another month passes by without resolution to the increasingly fragile...