MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Winners Being Winners, Losers Being Losers.”
Highlights The correction continues to unfold in a manner comparable to most corrections in bull markets...painful, but expected. We remain focused on key levels and which sectors/industries are leading throughout the correction. If we can get through the volatility with trends and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Selling Begets Buying in Bull Markets.”
Highlights The correction is well underway now, with the Value Line (average stock) already down over 5% from its recent highs. The Value Line is also now in the midst of major supports and only 15% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are about their 20 day average. In addition, volatility...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Tech Pausing, Energy & Materials Picking Up Slack.”
Highlights The Tech sector continues to languish, with breadth deterioration taking hold despite continued new highs in 2024 for the Tech ETF (XLK) While cracks in the foundation of such an important leader can be a clear warning, we think it is not. First, the sector's trend condition...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Time For Some Pain?”
With stocks selling off today, the natural question might be "is this it? Are we about to get slammed?" I can completely appreciate that question, particularly given all the uncertainty the market seems to be digesting of late. It is for this very reason however, that I outline levels ahead of...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Financials Top the Leaderboard Once Again.”
Highlights Our Risk Gauges finished Q1'24 with "Risk On" readings in both the short- and medium-term timeframes, while the long-term gauge hovers just below "Risk On". This latest improvement has been partly driven by the all-important Financial sector, now ranked #1. 17 of the 20...
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Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Good News, There’s More Resistance Ahead.”
Highlights The Value Line Geometric Average finally broke above overhead resistance, a battle we have been chronicling...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Small-cap Leadership, if it Manifests, Would be Uber Bullish.”
Highlights Small caps have been stubbornly underperforming large-caps, leaving us with a lingering concern that our...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Much Ado About 40x EV to Sales?”
Highlights Wonderful things happen when you can be on the right side of fundamental growth and valuation expansion. ...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mr. Market Continues to Look Forward Optimistically.”
Highlights "Change at the margin" remains positive, and absolute levels of trend and breadth are nowhere near extreme...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Watching For Rotation ‘Within’ Equities, Not ‘Away From’ Equities'”
This Week's Highlights Despite the S&P and NDX being up in a straight line since October, breadth continues to thin...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Market Weakness Likely, But We’re a Buyer.”
Highlights Between the vertical behavior of SMCI, MSTR, and Bitcoin, and the ominous rejection of NVDA, a correction in...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)
While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme that it does...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Scary Transition Between Launch & Escape Velocity.”
Does the market have enough fuel to transition from launch to escape velocity? Was the SMCI blowoff top a warning of worse...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Ingredients for a Bull Market are Finally in Place.”
The S&P is finally breaking out to new highs, and without a moment to spare, breadth is now positive for the first time...