MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “FOMO And Our Little Rat Brains.”
Highlights Even after today's rally, market structure clings to "Mixed" at best, leaving us with no choice other than to execute the plan we said we'd execute if we got to 5750 without structural repair. This means raising cash and restoring short exposure, which is really hard to do...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Body Punches, Leg Kicks, & Knockout Blows.”
Highlights To expose their opponent's chin for a knockout punch, MMA fighters often soften them up with annoying but painful body punches and leg kicks. In investing, corrections and volatility serve the same purpose, knocking us off our plan in the most inopportune moments. To combat...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Zweig Breadth Thrust, the ‘Slope of Hope’, and the Risk Gauge.”
Highlights The recent Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) has lit a flame of hope that the worst is behind us, further greasing the 'slope of hope' that keeps investors from reducing risk exposures. While the ZBT is based on sound reasoning, the fact is that it has only happened 17 times since the...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “From ‘Wall of Worry’ to ‘Slope of Hope'”
"From 'Wall of Worry' to 'Slope of Hope'" After climbing a well-fortified 'wall of worry' since late 2022, the market finally rolled over into a bear market in early 2025, according to our Risk Gauge. Rather than embrace the bear, investors now cling to a long and growing list of reasons to not...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.”
Highlights The market has rallied nearly 15% since the April lows, and as a result, 85% of the roughly 2900 MOTR Universe stocks are above their 15-day average. Viewed in isolation, this would be bullish...but alas, in the current context, it is not bullish. Despite this rally, the...
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Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Tension Resolved, Which May be a Bad Thing.”
Highlights Through the lens of our process, all that has changed after two days of strength is that we have gone from...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Still Technically Broken Despite Rally.”
Highlights After rallying over 13% from recent lows, the S&P has settled in with a more than 11% gain since April...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Full of Sound and Fury, Signifying Nothing.”
Highlights Despite all the noise, yesterday's rally was more symptomatic of a near death patient convulsing on an...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Understand the ‘What’, Care Less About the ‘Why’.”
Highlights The MOTR Risk Gauge continues to deteriorate for both the US and the globe, ex-US. We can do one of two...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Still Defensive, But Our Eyes Are Open.”
Highlights Our best-case scenario is that the market retests, if not undercuts, last week's lows before we can consider...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “You Don’t Know the Future, Only the Present.”
Highlights Our Risk Gauge has down ticked into "Risk Off" in the monthly (MT) timeframe, confirming what it has been...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rare Moment in Stock Market History.”
"A Rare Moment in Stock Market History." There have been many extremes to worry about the past few years, but I have...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Ruh Roh, Raggy!!”
"Ruh Roh, Raggy!!" Scooby Doo's phrase "Ruh Roh, Raggy!!" is an expression of alarm or concern, usually expressed in...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Dream the Impossible Dream.”
"Dream the Impossible Dream." While most investors and "experts" are focused on what is likely to go wrong in 2025, Mr....