Research Video

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast.”

"Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast." Despite the fact that Wall Street's forecasts are notoriously inaccurate, the time
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “When Turkeys Fly.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “When Turkeys Fly.”

"When Turkeys Fly" Despite popular belief, turkeys can fly, just not for long distances. They can't fly long distances due
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Too Much Exploiting and Not Enough Exploring Leads to Fragility.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Too Much Exploiting and Not Enough Exploring Leads to Fragility.”

"Too Much Exploiting and Not Enough Exploring Leads to Fragility." Ant colonies rely on a diverse mix of explore and exploit
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Real Surprise in 2025: A Robust Bull Market!!!” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Real Surprise in 2025: A Robust Bull Market!!!”

"The Real Surprise in 2025: A Robust Bull Market. . . To view this content you must be an active
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Black Death, the Renaissance, and Their Aftermath.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Black Death, the Renaissance, and Their Aftermath.”

"The Black Death, the Renaissance, and Their Aftermath." (aka "Record Volatility, 8-Day Positive Streaks, and Their Aftermath. . . To
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Appear strong when you are weak and weak when you are strong.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Appear strong when you are weak and weak when you are strong.”

After spending nearly two years appearing to be strong when it was weak, the market may be transitioning to a
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “This Bull is Getting Tired.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “This Bull is Getting Tired.”

While market breadth has been thinning out for a while now, it is beginning to fray even within the leadership.
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Market Still Not Ready For ‘Prime’ Time Yet.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Market Still Not Ready For ‘Prime’ Time Yet.”

While we remain longer-term bullish, and it is wonderful that the S&P has recorded new highs, market breadth has yet
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The ‘Beauty & the Beast’ of Trend Following.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The ‘Beauty & the Beast’ of Trend Following.”

Corrections are a necessary evil of healthy uptrends--they reset expectations, and flush out bullish sentiment, setting the stage for the
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least) Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)

While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Scary Transition Between Launch & Escape Velocity.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Scary Transition Between Launch & Escape Velocity.”

Does the market have enough fuel to transition from launch to escape velocity? Was the SMCI blowoff top a warning
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Ingredients for a Bull Market are Finally in Place.” Read More

Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Ingredients for a Bull Market are Finally in Place.”

The S&P is finally breaking out to new highs, and without a moment to spare, breadth is now positive for
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