While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme that it does matter. This month, we dig into this, plus the current market environment, and prospects for a renewed inflation surge.
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)
March 23rd, 2024

David Lundgren, CMT CFA
Related Market Insights
Some of Our Latest Commentary
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “When Mr. Market Speaks, We Listen.”
Highlights We have recently advised two things: the market was very oversold and should rally, and if that rally checked
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Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Cracks in the Fragile Foundation.”
Highlights Market structure continues to weaken, increasing the possibility that lower lows will be flushed out before conditions stabilize. As
October 19th, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “MT Downtick as Defense Climbs.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge medium-term timeframe has downticked to 5, deeper into 'Mixed' territory, while the long-term gauge remains
October 19th, 2026
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Too Late for Bulls, too Early for Bears.”
Highlights We have been closely monitoring the quality of market action as the S&P scores new highs, and we don't
October 16th, 2026
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Don’t Look Now, but Software is Back!!””
Highlights Software is re-emerging as a leadership theme after years of severe underperformance versus semiconductors, a trend that actually began
October 12th, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Focusing on Change at the Margin.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge remains oversold, with the ST timeframe in
October 12th, 2026