Risk is greatest when we all understand why the market is doing what it is doing. Right now, with most confounded by why the market has been so strong, the risk of a top seems low to us.
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video: “When is it ever not confusing? At the TOP!”
August 18th, 2023

David Lundgren, CMT CFA
Related Market Insights
Some of Our Latest Commentary
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Vertical Leadership, Diverging Breadth.”
Highlights We remain bullishly positioned, especially in Semis and IT Hardware. That said, semis have become elevated above trend to
May 11th, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Risk Gauge Downticks in the Short Term.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge downticked to a 3 in the short term this week as leadership continues narrowing with
May 11th, 2026
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Staying the Course as Leadership Accelerates.”
Highlights Risk Gauge struggles to attain “Risk-On” despite new highs, reflecting a still fragmented market regime. While rare, this is
May 06th, 2026
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “K-Shaped Economy and Markets.”
Highlights The "K-Shaped" economy has resulted in a "K-Shaped" market with no signs of relief in sight. Within the tech
May 04th, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Healthy Rotation in Materials.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge continues to strengthen, with the short-term ticking up as major indices push to new all-time highs
May 04th, 2026
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.”
“Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.” We all know that stocks are volatile, but still, we behave as if we didn’t
May 01st, 2026