MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “What the Fractal, Bitcoin?”
Highlights Bitcoin’s current top fractally mirrors the 2022 peak with similar clear momentum divergences. Our momentum ranks have also plunged for the MOTR Crypto industry, disqualifying those stocks from the STP for now. This latest breakdown implies a ~$50K downside target and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost momentum in low‑beta mega‑caps driving the weakness in cap-weighted Risk Gauge...something to monitor going forward. Breadth not yet oversold; more weakness likely before...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Focusing on Change at the Margin.”
Highlights January closed with broad gains across equities, while the U.S. MOTR Risk Gauge remained largely in Risk On despite a late-month downtick that froze the Monthly gauge in Mixed. Market structure remains intact, with five sectors fully in Risk On across all timeframes and every...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Ok for now, but potential rumblings of worse things to come.”
"Ok for now, but potential rumblings of worse things to come." Friday's reversal in leading 'New Era' industries was painful for sure, but nonetheless, they have performed strongly to start the year. Broadly speaking, leadership is healthy and 'pro-risk', albeit increasingly speculative and...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Dollar Breaks, Global Risk Wakes.”
Highlights The U.S. dollar has broken major chart support again, but it is now sitting just above its 2026 Yearly Support Zone, making this a poor location for aggressive bearish bets despite our longer‑term negative view. Still, dollar weakness is accelerating the bull run in...
More WMR More WRG More CMI More Monthly Video
The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Focusing on Energy & Chemicals, Again.”
Highlights S&P is wrestling with major resistance while breadth remains ok, but not great; continued stalling would...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Leadership ‘Emerging’ in a Good Way.”
Highlights Markets are inherently unforecastable; emergence makes future outcomes unknowable in advance. Survival...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Focusing on Change at the Margin.”
Highlights January closed with broad gains across equities, while the U.S. MOTR Risk Gauge remained largely in Risk On...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Energy Moves Up the Leaderboard.”
Highlights The large-cap versus small-cap divergence remains unresolved, with QQQ, MAGS, and SPY lagging prior highs...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Materials Steals the #1 Spot.”
Highlights Despite a quiet week from the major indices, continued market broadening remains intact as mid-, small-, and...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Warning Shots from Chemicals & Staples?”
Highlights We monitor marginal shifts in leadership to adapt exposures gradually rather than making abrupt regime...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “‘New Era’ Leaders Trending, Very Oversold.”
Highlights Despite the recent volatility, 'New Era' industries are still in uptrends broadly speaking, with very...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Mo, Mo, Mo!! Merry Christmas!!”
Headlines Santa’s rally is here, but he’s flipping the script and handing out the biggest gifts to small and micro...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast.”
"Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast." With Wall Street strategists publishing their market forecasts for...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Navigating Complexity with Master Oogway.”
"Navigating Complexity with Master Oogway." Another month passes by without resolution to the increasingly fragile...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “The Battle of Narratives–and the Need to Act.”
"The Battle of Narratives--and the Need to Act." With so many compelling, yet opposed narratives competing for our...