MOTR Research Headlines
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mega Caps Faltering vs Small Caps.”
Highlights Despite widespread concerns about rates, oil, deficits, valuations, and seasonal weakness, the equally weighted MOTR Risk Gauge remains broadly “Risk On,” suggesting the bull market remains intact. The cap-weighted Risk Gauge has weakened to “4s” (Mixed) however,...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “ST Downticks, Looking for Pullbacks.”
Highlights Major indices posted a second consecutive week of slight gains, while the Short-Term Risk Gauge downticked. Health Care continued to strengthen, with three MOTR Groups now in the top 10, while Biotech and HC Services moved ahead of IT Hardware. Despite IT Hardware’s...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Keep Calm and Carry On!”
"Keep Calm and Carry On!" Despite all the macro concerns, and even with the impending seasonal market weakness of September, we remain bullish. Our Risk Gauge ticking into "Risk On" warns that shorting may be more difficult going forward, as will determining durable leadership in a "rising...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Momentum’s Achilles’ Heel on Display.”
Highlights Leadership appears to be rotating within cyclical sectors, not toward defensive groups, consistent with MOTR’s current “Risk On” assessment. Momentum ranks may be missing this change, as they can remain elevated long after a leader weakens. For instance, Western Digital...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “A Familiar Face Back in Leadership.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge downticked one notch in the Short-Term but remains 'Risk On' across all time frames, potentially heading into September with a full Risk On reading for the first time in years. Technology also weakened as its Long-Term gauge moved out of 'Risk On', while IT...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mega Caps Faltering vs Small Caps.”
Highlights Despite widespread concerns about rates, oil, deficits, valuations, and seasonal weakness, the equally...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Momentum’s Achilles’ Heel on Display.”
Highlights Leadership appears to be rotating within cyclical sectors, not toward defensive groups, consistent with...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Small Caps, Cyclicals Keep Safety Trade at Bay.”
Highlights Market conditions remain broadly risk-on, but leadership is increasingly shifting toward small caps. ...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “ST Downticks, Looking for Pullbacks.”
Highlights Major indices posted a second consecutive week of slight gains, while the Short-Term Risk Gauge...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “A Familiar Face Back in Leadership.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge downticked one notch in the Short-Term but remains 'Risk On' across all time frames,...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “One last week for ‘Risk On’.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge and sector rankings remain steady heading into a busy week, with the potential to close...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Risk Gauge–‘Risk On’, now what?”
Highlights While we have to wait for month end for confirmation, the MOTR Risk Gage has attained 'Risk On' in all three...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “AI Hype Trade at Critical Juncture.”
Highlights Market averages appear calm, but sharp internal rotations are occurring, with AI-related industries plunging...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Playing One Swing at a Time.”
Highlights Like in sports, navigating difficulty requires staying focused on what is happening now, not on what...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Crossing the Bridge of Extremes.”
https://youtu.be/3sPAYRKWfxE "Crossing the Bridge of Extremes." Many extreme relationships have resulted from what is now...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out.”
"Protective Fence Keeping Monsters Out." Asset bubbles are nothing more than story telling. Like every story that has been...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “We’ve Seen This Movie Before.”
"We've Seen This Movie Before." I recently had the privilege of presenting at the CMT Boston Spring Summit on May 15th, and...