MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Now is no time to buy bonds.”
The US 10yr treasury yield has reached our downside target for now. While the jury is still out on whether the stock market wants higher or lower rates from here, anyone buying bonds here surely wants lower rates. We're not so sure they'll get what they want. As covered in slide 12 of last...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Houston, We Have Ignition. Escape Velocity is Hopefully Next.”
This Week's Highlights With interest rates and oil falling together, Financials have worked their way up the leaderboard at the expense of Energy. Remarkably, the Financial sector has recovered all of its losses from the bank crisis despite the fact that banks (a significant percentage of...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Low Volatility is Not a Reason to Fear Equities.”
History has taught us that a collapse in equities can happen "any day". Truth be told, such "out of the blue" collapses are rare, to the point where planning for a bear market, without the evidence on hand to support one, is foolish. With the Volatility Index (VIX) now trading at 12.56, its...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Lack of New Highs Plants the Seeds for New Highs.”
This Week's Highlights With the S&P having now gone 22 months without hitting a 2 year high, we suspect we will see one in early 2024. We are just hesitant to add significant new exposure now that we are back to overbought at resistance. At this stage of the rally, we are seeing some...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Seasonals & Short-term Trends Support Higher Prices For Now.”
This Week's Highlights After reaching oversold in late October, the S&P is now back into its primary resistance band (4500-4700), yet the Value Line is still well below its comparable resistance. Given our expectation for a year-end rally, and the above describes setup, we're...
More CMI More WMR More Monthly Video
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The time to pile in has passed, now its time to monitor.”
Highlights As the Santa Claus Rally continues to play out, the S&P has once again entered the primary resistance...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “What Rising Rates Mean for Stocks & Valuations.”
Highlights Investors need to pay attention to the potential shift taking place in the correlation between stocks and...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “A Rising Tide Lifts All ARKKs.”
With the S&P finding a bid after visiting initial supports in the 4050 to 4150 area, it should not surprise us to see...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Like 2011, 1994 provides an encouraging analogue.”
This Week's Highlights As with 2011, the 1994 analogue provides a bullish projection for the current market into...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Gains Expected, Focus Remains on Trend.”
This Week's Highlights Last week's rally was sufficient to warrant expectations of higher prices in the months ahead,...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Back at the lows from one year ago.”
This Week's Highlights The Russell 2000 is now within reach of its October '22 lows once again. We know what bull...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Partly Cloudy With a Chance of Sunshine.”
With the S&P moving higher after reaching an oversold condition in October, the bulls now need to convert this bounce...
Monthly MOTR Check-Up (MMC): “Whistling past the graveyard? Not so fast!”
The market's internals reflect a lot more awareness about ongoing macro weakness than most media outlets, and the S&P...
Monthly MOTR Check-Up (MMC): “Not as much of a tug-of-war as it seems”
Despite what many prognosticators and news outlets would have us believe, the market is not at all ignoring the ongoing...