MOTR Research Headlines
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Vertical Leadership, Diverging Breadth.”
Highlights We remain bullishly positioned, especially in Semis and IT Hardware. That said, semis have become elevated above trend to a degree not seen since March 2000. At the same time, short-term breadth participation has begun to thin out following the S&P's more than 17%, 28-day...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Risk Gauge Downticks in the Short Term.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge downticked to a 3 in the short term this week as leadership continues narrowing with fewer stocks participating in the market’s move higher. Despite major indices trading at all time highs, the market is considerably less overbought today with materially...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Staying the Course as Leadership Accelerates.”
Highlights Risk Gauge struggles to attain “Risk-On” despite new highs, reflecting a still fragmented market regime. While rare, this is not unprecedented. Bullishly positioned with net long exposure while actively shorting laggards within weak groups. A broad, tech-led speculative...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “K-Shaped Economy and Markets.”
Highlights The "K-Shaped" economy has resulted in a "K-Shaped" market with no signs of relief in sight. Within the tech sector alone, the dispersion between leading Semis and IT Hardware vs lagging Software & Services has never been so wide. Outside of Tech, other traditionally pro...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Healthy Rotation in Materials.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge continues to strengthen, with the short-term ticking up as major indices push to new all-time highs and leadership remains stable. Materials shows constructive rotation, with Industrial Metals overtaking Precious Metals, signaling a shift toward more cyclical,...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Vertical Leadership, Diverging Breadth.”
Highlights We remain bullishly positioned, especially in Semis and IT Hardware. That said, semis have become...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “K-Shaped Economy and Markets.”
Highlights The "K-Shaped" economy has resulted in a "K-Shaped" market with no signs of relief in sight. Within the...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “We’re Entitled to Opinions, not Facts.”
Highlights Narratives mislead; market structure doesn’t. Ignore stories, watch price trends, leadership, and...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Risk Gauge Downticks in the Short Term.”
Highlights The U.S. Risk Gauge downticked to a 3 in the short term this week as leadership continues narrowing with...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Healthy Rotation in Materials.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge continues to strengthen, with the short-term ticking up as major indices push to new all-time...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Less Overbought as Indices Move Higher.”
Highlights The Risk Gauge is one medium-term uptick away from ‘Risk On’, making the end-of-month reading a key...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Sea of Red, Good Guy Day.”
Highlights Risk Gauge nears “Risk On” while the S&P flounders in monthly resistance; even good trends don’t...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “MOTR Dashboard ‘Sneak Peek’: The Mo Crash.”
Highlights Momentum leaders sharply lagged today despite a rising market, producing an outsized momentum 'crash' where...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Into the Heart of Resistance.”
Highlights The market's sharp rally has run directly into meaningful, overlapping resistance. If this is indeed...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.”
"Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations." We all know that stocks are volatile, but still, we behave as if we didn't...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear…”
"If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear..." Conditions today mirror those of most environments that result in...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Bullish, but Head on a Swivel.”
"Bullish, but Head on a Swivel." Conditions remain supportive enough to stay engaged on the long side. Leadership is...