MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Don’t Confuse Beta with Resilience”
Highlights If the S&P rallies more than 20%, the easy bet would be that high beta would outperform low beta...beta does what beta is. Therefore, as tempting as it is to view the recent market rally as "resilient", we are more focused on the "fact" (we could be wrong, after all) that...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Sequencing of a Top”
Highlights In this note, we discuss the three-step sequence that we track when monitoring a topping or bottoming process. In a topping process, these include 1) reach resistance or a target, 2) begin to reveal internal weakness via divergences of various sorts, and 3) begin to break...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Semiconductors at Important Juncture.”
Highlights Not only are the popular averages at a critical juncture, but so too is the MOTR Semi Group. Ranking a lowly 21 out of 27, and with only 26% in a medium-term uptrend (both conditions enduring despite the recent rally), the group has largely sat out of Tech's return to the top...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Wait for it…Wait for it!!!”
Notice I will be celebrating my daughter's wedding this weekend and will therefore not be writing a Weekly MOTR Report, nor sending the MOTR Maps to MOTR Access clients on Monday. I will be back in the office on Monday and will of course write a CMI if warranted. Have a wonderful...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Gradually, Then Suddenly.”
Highlights As I have been prone to say over the years, bear markets don't just happen all of a sudden, any more than people or companies go broke all of a sudden. Rather, they (bear markets and bankruptcies) unfold over time, the result of poor decisions or conditions accumulating beneath...
More CMI More WMR More Monthly Video
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Stocks Top on Good News, Not Bad.”
Highlights It is never the specific news item, nor how we feel about it personally that matters...rather, it is how the...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Dow Theory Sell Signals Continue to Build.”
Highlights In today's CMI, we offer a brief primer on Dow Theory, along with a more nuanced version of that more than...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Non-US Equities on the Comeback Trail.”
Highlights While the US remains "Mixed", equities ex-US continue to show standout resilience. We expect that a year...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Nothing Has Changed, And That’s The Point.”
Highlights We want to get past this period of volatility and uncertainty as much as anyone, but until the data as we...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Patience is a Virtue & Data is the Driver.”
Highlights Those who have been short-term tactically bullish are now in the crosshairs of broken long-term structure. ...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Some Green Shoots in the Arid Equity Desert.”
***** The note below was written before the overnight trade developments. The S&P is now just above the 5800 zone, and...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Great Shell Game.”
"The Great Shell Game." The market is a shell game, getting investors to focus on the empty 'S&P shell', when in fact...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “From ‘Wall of Worry’ to ‘Slope of Hope'”
"From 'Wall of Worry' to 'Slope of Hope'" After climbing a well-fortified 'wall of worry' since late 2022, the market...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rare Moment in Stock Market History.”
"A Rare Moment in Stock Market History." There have been many extremes to worry about the past few years, but I have...
