MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Do New Highs Mean Blue Skies?”
Highlights Although the SPY and QQQ ETFs have registered new highs, we don't see enough evidence to say we should be adding to long exposure after the recent 5% plus rally. Rather, we see divergences and lack of breadth "thrust", leaving us with a preference to hang on to what we bought in...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Tactical Caution Still Warranted.”
Highlights We remain longer-term bullish, with expectations for further gains towards the latter part of 2024. That said, no trend unfolds in a straight line, and given current shorter-term conditions, now is as good a time to expect a setback as any. Despite the recent 5% rally, we...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Siren Call of Market Rallies.”
Highlights In life, and in investing, it is usually not the easy path that gets rewarded. The immediate satisfaction felt when selling weakness and buying strength is rarely granted a smooth glidepath to profits. The better approach is to spend more time identifying the environment and...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Outlook for a Rangebound Summer Remains Intact.”
Brief note this week as I am traveling for my son's college graduation! While it has been nice to see the S&P respect important supports these past few weeks, it doesn't mean the bull is set to resume. The market's biggest challenge is that most stocks have done a fair amount of damage...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Remember…Do the Opposite!”
Highlights Although we are longer-term bullish, our expectations for a rangebound summer remain intact. Under such circumstances, the most important takeaway is to "do the opposite" of what the market has recently done. Sell overbought strength and buy oversold weakness. In this note, we...
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Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “A ‘Quiet Riot’ in the META-worse.”
Highlights The market's resilience despite META's disappointment confirms that it is just too oversold to make downside...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Winners Being Winners, Losers Being Losers.”
Highlights The correction continues to unfold in a manner comparable to most corrections in bull markets...painful, but...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Time For Some Pain?”
With stocks selling off today, the natural question might be "is this it? Are we about to get slammed?" I can completely...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Tactical Expectations vs Strategic Execution.”
Highlights Bigger picture, the market remains healthy, and we hold positive expectations for 2024. Tactically, it is in...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Correction Underway, Tactical Rally Due.”
The Monthly MOTR Checkup Video was published last night, so today's WMR will be brief. In essence, the correction is well...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Selling Begets Buying in Bull Markets.”
Highlights The correction is well underway now, with the Value Line (average stock) already down over 5% from its...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The ‘Beauty & the Beast’ of Trend Following.”
Corrections are a necessary evil of healthy uptrends--they reset expectations, and flush out bullish sentiment, setting the...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)
While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme that it does...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “The Scary Transition Between Launch & Escape Velocity.”
Does the market have enough fuel to transition from launch to escape velocity? Was the SMCI blowoff top a warning of worse...