MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Did You ‘Really’ Expect This???”
Highlights Today was one of those "test your mettle" days...did you really mean it when you said, "I understand I will need to sit through some volatile days if I am going to capture the AI trade"? If you were slamming the sell button today, the answer is likely no, you didn't mean it. ...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Long ‘Rockets’, Short ‘Bombs’.”
Highlights If the entire market was represented only by today's leadership, we would be quite comfortable labeling this a proper (and rather strong) bull market. If the entire market was represented only by today's laggards, we would have no problem labeling the current environment a weak...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Leadership Intact and Getting Stronger.”
Highlights Leadership remains firmly intact, with Semis and IT Hardware now ranked #1 and #2 out of 28 MOTR Groups and no meaningful deterioration in trend structure. Energy remains the top-ranked sector despite extreme short-term weakness, creating bounce potential while warranting...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Speculation Nation: the $2 tln Leap of Faith”
Highlights We’re deep in an AI-era speculative mania—bigger than dot-com—with multiple revolutionary themes feeding investor euphoria. As in all bubbles, investors are enthusiastically paying nosebleed valuations at a time when forecasts are as unreliable as they have ever been. ...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Improvement in Financials.”
Highlights Despite a headline-driven week led by the historic SpaceX IPO, every major index we track advanced except for the MAGS ETF, while the RSP reached new all-time highs. The Risk Gauge remains bullish, and the outperformance of equal-weighted and smaller-cap stocks supports staying...
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The Weekly MOTR Report (WMR)
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Long ‘Rockets’, Short ‘Bombs’.”
Highlights If the entire market was represented only by today's leadership, we would be quite comfortable labeling this...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Speculation Nation: the $2 tln Leap of Faith”
Highlights We’re deep in an AI-era speculative mania—bigger than dot-com—with multiple revolutionary themes...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Best and Worst of Times.”
Highlights The Best of Times: Stellar upside returns for leadership stocks and those willing to engage with them. ...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG)
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Leadership Intact and Getting Stronger.”
Highlights Leadership remains firmly intact, with Semis and IT Hardware now ranked #1 and #2 out of 28 MOTR Groups and...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Improvement in Financials.”
Highlights Despite a headline-driven week led by the historic SpaceX IPO, every major index we track advanced except...
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “This is Why We Built the Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Following Friday's selloff, the Risk Gauge remains 'Risk On' in the long-term and leadership remains...
Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Hedge Fund Nirvana Day.”
Highlights The S&P's uninspiring +0.14% performance today masked a nearly perfect day for trend following...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The End of the Beginning.”
Highlights The 1998-2000 surge in the NDX and SOX indices provide ample reminder that investor risk appetite, when...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Our New Dashboard Says, ‘Bad Guy Day’.”
Highlights Despite the S&P's orderly decline today, price action is anything but orderly beneath the surface. ...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC)
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “We’ve Seen This Movie Before.”
"We've Seen This Movie Before." I recently had the privilege of presenting at the CMT Boston Spring Summit on May 15th, and...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations.”
"Happiness Equals Results Minus Expectations." We all know that stocks are volatile, but still, we behave as if we didn't...
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear…”
"If it Looks, Walks and Talks Like a Bear..." Conditions today mirror those of most environments that result in...