MOTR Research Headlines
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Next Up…Overbought Downtrend.”
Highlights The mudslide off the highs has cut through supports like a hot knife through butter, ignoring very oversold conditions along the way. In the decline, the MT Risk Gauge has down ticked again, this time to 6, putting it in the bottom half of mixed, adding to the appeal of reducing...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “So Oversold its Bad?”
Highlights Breadth among the cyclical sectors reached a degree of oversold last week sufficient to warrant expectations of a tactical rally in the days/weeks ahead. Under a more favorable environment, we would be focused on buying stocks with the plan to hold them for several months...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “My Hindsight Portfolio is Killing it!”
Highlights If our call pans out for the S&P to rally to 6000 before much lower prices later in the year, we'll be able to look back in hindsight and easily identify the "classic" bottoming sequence that preceded that rally to 6000. Holding through that "classic" bottoming sequence in...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Stocks and Bonds Back to Uncorrelated???”
Highlights Quietly, bond and stock prices have become uncorrelated once again, today being a good example. Ironically, as most have abandoned the recession call, it appears the equity market is now growing increasingly more concerned about an economic downturn. For now, our thinking is...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Bullish Implications ‘Sandwiched’ into Today’s Reversal.”
Highlights The painful knuckle sandwich delivered by the bears today resulted in a sandwich of a different type being traced out on the daily chart of the S&P: a candlestick sandwich. This is a typically reliable reversal pattern, particularly given oversold breadth, and the proximity...
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Charting My Interruption (CMI)
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Lower 10-year Treasury Yields From Here.”
Highlights While most investors seem to be concerned about higher rates and what that will do to stocks, we have...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “More Reason to be Bullish in 2025.”
Highlights With sector leadership quite cyclical at the end of the year in 2024, that trend has only improved at the...
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “Anticipate Your Enemy.”
Highlights Emotions are running high currently, elevated from an already heightened level. We can choose to respond...
The Weekly MOTR Report
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Neutral Structure Warrants Tactical Approach.”
Highlights In recent notes (here and here) and in our latest monthly video (here), we have been detailing the slow...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Table-Pounding Neutral.”
Highlights There have been many reasons to be bearish equities since the banking crisis in early 2023, most prominent...
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Capital Still Flowing to Cyclicals.”
Highlights While we still can't yet point to a robust bull market environment, just as important, we also see no signs...
Monthly MOTR
Checkup Video Series
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Ruh Roh, Raggy!!”
"Ruh Roh, Raggy!!" Scooby Doo's phrase "Ruh Roh, Raggy!!" is an expression of alarm or concern, usually expressed in...
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Dream the Impossible Dream.”
"Dream the Impossible Dream." While most investors and "experts" are focused on what is likely to go wrong in 2025, Mr....
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast.”
"Our Annual Forecast: There will be no forecast." Despite the fact that Wall Street's forecasts are notoriously inaccurate,...