Research

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”

Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost momentum in low‑beta
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Focusing on Energy & Chemicals, Again.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Focusing on Energy & Chemicals, Again.”

Highlights S&P is wrestling with major resistance while breadth remains ok, but not great; continued stalling would not be surprising
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Leadership ‘Emerging’ in a Good Way.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Leadership ‘Emerging’ in a Good Way.”

Highlights Markets are inherently unforecastable; emergence makes future outcomes unknowable in advance. Survival in complex systems comes from monitoring for
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk Gauge in ‘Risk-On’ as Small Caps Emerge.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk Gauge in ‘Risk-On’ as Small Caps Emerge.”

Highlights Risk gauges are fully 'Risk‑On', with both large‑ and small‑cap indices at new highs. Small‑cap leadership is re‑emerging, reversing
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “New Age Narratives vs Old Age Setups.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “New Age Narratives vs Old Age Setups.”

Highlights Our interpretation of the data leaves us with the same view despite the new year: we are in a
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Small Caps Continue to Gain Momentum.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Small Caps Continue to Gain Momentum.”

Highlights As we head to the close of another year, small caps remain in what is now a 12-year-old relative
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Bitcoin Lower Still, But Getting Close.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Bitcoin Lower Still, But Getting Close.”

Highlights As volatile as some of the leading 'New Era' industries have been, trends are still intact, and long-term MO
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “High Beta Overbought, But Confirming.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “High Beta Overbought, But Confirming.”

Headlines As we ponder the potential for a Santa Claus rally to cap off the year, the Risk Gauge is
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Health Care Next Cycle’s Leadership?” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Health Care Next Cycle’s Leadership?”

***Reminder: As per usual, following the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, there will be no WMR this week. Happy Holidays!!*** Highlights The
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Credit Spreads Showing Stress.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Credit Spreads Showing Stress.”

Highlights Credit spreads have been widening since early October, suggesting that Mr. Market is growing uneasy with risk. Despite wider
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Supports Tested, Leadership Still Healthy.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Supports Tested, Leadership Still Healthy.”

Highlights The S&P tested important supports last week, reaching a moderately oversold condition in the process. Importantly, there was little
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Poor Breadth Remains Primary Issue.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Poor Breadth Remains Primary Issue.”

Highlights While we like what we see from a leadership perspective--cyclicals and 'new era' growth--we remain concerned by the growing
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