Research

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Breadth Improves, Quality Set to Mean Revert.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Breadth Improves, Quality Set to Mean Revert.”

Highlights Although market breadth is indeed improving, it has not yet impacted the Risk Gauge, which remains in the top
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Tactical, But Still Bullish.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “More Tactical, But Still Bullish.”

Highlights There is plenty of reason to expect recent turbulence to persist in the weeks ahead. How one responds to
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Long ‘Rockets’, Short ‘Bombs’.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Long ‘Rockets’, Short ‘Bombs’.”

Highlights If the entire market was represented only by today's leadership, we would be quite comfortable labeling this a proper
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Speculation Nation: the $2 tln Leap of Faith” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Speculation Nation: the $2 tln Leap of Faith”

Highlights We’re deep in an AI-era speculative mania—bigger than dot-com—with multiple revolutionary themes feeding investor euphoria. As in all bubbles,
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Best and Worst of Times.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Best and Worst of Times.”

Highlights The Best of Times: Stellar upside returns for leadership stocks and those willing to engage with them. The Worst
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Laser Focused on Leaders.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Laser Focused on Leaders.”

Highlights Market leadership remains growthy and/or cyclical in nature and continues to navigate through healthy oversold conditions. As of now,
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Exponential Confidence, Mean Reverting Outcomes.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Exponential Confidence, Mean Reverting Outcomes.”

Highlights Enthusiasm for current market leadership is growing increasingly exuberant, resembling late '99/early '00 bubble behavior. All the while, systemic
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk Gauge Downticks Despite Surging Indices.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk Gauge Downticks Despite Surging Indices.”

Highlights The short-term Risk Gauge has downticked from 2 to 5 during the recent 2-week surge in the S&P and
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Vertical Leadership, Diverging Breadth.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Vertical Leadership, Diverging Breadth.”

Highlights We remain bullishly positioned, especially in Semis and IT Hardware. That said, semis have become elevated above trend to
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “K-Shaped Economy and Markets.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “K-Shaped Economy and Markets.”

Highlights The “K-Shaped” economy has resulted in a “K-Shaped” market with no signs of relief in sight. Within the tech
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “We’re Entitled to Opinions, not Facts.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “We’re Entitled to Opinions, not Facts.”

Highlights Narratives mislead; market structure doesn’t. Ignore stories, watch price trends, leadership, and breadth—the market itself is the ultimate truth
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Human Nature is Undefeated.” Read More

Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Human Nature is Undefeated.”

Highlights We humans have an unblemished record of committing the most blatant behavioral missteps at the worst possible moment. We
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