Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “A ‘Good’ Overbought Condition?”
Highlights The tactical plan of buying/covering into oversold support worked out ahead of the "surprise" cease fire. However, selling/shorting the
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Some Good Charts, But Poor Context.”
Highlights Although there are many good charts, there are many more bad ones, reminding us that the market regime contains
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Artificially Intelligent for 35 Years and Counting.”
Highlights Generative AI’s process methodology mirrors that of trend following—both “query” complex systems, interpret responses, and generate structured outputs without
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk Gauge Abandons ‘Risk-On’ in all Timeframes.”
Highlights The MOTR Risk Gauge continues to weaken across timeframes, signaling rising fragility and a cautious near‑term market outlook. Tactical
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Worst Case Scenario ‘too’ Quickly Met.”
Highlights The S&P met our worst‑case path last week, a little too rapidly for our liking. Failure to rebound by
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Out Puzzling the Puzzle Master?”
Highlights Volatility tempts us to override our systematic process, but models show market structure remains too “not bearish” to justify
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Now is no Time to Forecast the Unforecastable.”
Highlights Forecasting is nearly impossible in calm periods, so during wartime, disciplined attention to market signals becomes even more essential.
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “The Media is not the Market.”
Highlights Media narratives highlight risks, but market behavior shows resilience and continued underlying strength across most stocks. Breadth and leadership
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Anxiety Induced (AI) Selling in Software.”
Highlights The MOTR Software & Services Group has performed so poorly that it ranks worst in both our very short
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Construction Materials Building Momentum.”
Highlights Market rotation strengthens, with investors favoring cyclicals and smaller caps despite MAG7 weakness. Construction Materials climbs the MOTR ranks,
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Risk-On Slips from the Grasp of Risk Gauge.”
Highlights Medium‑term Risk Gauge slipped back to Mixed, which is still bullish, just not robustly so. Lost momentum in low‑beta
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Focusing on Energy & Chemicals, Again.”
Highlights S&P is wrestling with major resistance while breadth remains ok, but not great; continued stalling would not be surprising