Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Some Green Shoots in the Arid Equity Desert.”
***** The note below was written before the overnight trade developments. The S&P is now just above the 5800 zone,
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Body Punches, Leg Kicks, & Knockout Blows.”
Highlights To expose their opponent's chin for a knockout punch, MMA fighters often soften them up with annoying but painful
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.”
Highlights The market has rallied nearly 15% since the April lows, and as a result, 85% of the roughly 2900
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Understand the ‘What’, Care Less About the ‘Why’.”
Highlights The MOTR Risk Gauge continues to deteriorate for both the US and the globe, ex-US. We can do one
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Still Defensive, But Our Eyes Are Open.”
Highlights Our best-case scenario is that the market retests, if not undercuts, last week's lows before we can consider looking
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “You Don’t Know the Future, Only the Present.”
Highlights Our Risk Gauge has down ticked into "Risk Off" in the monthly (MT) timeframe, confirming what it has been
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “A Message to Long-Term Investors.”
Highlights I believe we have enough evidence on hand to eliminate the "Risk On" scenario, leaving us to prepare for
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “No Longer Oversold, But Still Broken.”
Highlights The market has gone from being broken and very oversold to broken but no longer oversold. Unable to repair
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “North America’s Rank Slips Again.”
Highlights Evidence continues to mount in two regards: first, equities are at risk of a deeper decline, potentially a bear
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “So Oversold its Bad?”
Highlights Breadth among the cyclical sectors reached a degree of oversold last week sufficient to warrant expectations of a tactical rally
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Neutral Structure Warrants Tactical Approach.”
Highlights In recent notes (here and here) and in our latest monthly video (here), we have been detailing the slow
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Table-Pounding Neutral.”
Highlights There have been many reasons to be bearish equities since the banking crisis in early 2023, most prominent of