Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Impact of 10-yr Treasury Yields Above 5.0%.”

Highlights

  • The 40-year secular bull market in bonds ended in 2020 when 10-year sovereign bonds persistently traded with negative yields.
  • The narrative of "lower for longer" took hold just before the bond market experienced one of its worst bear markets in history.
  • Now, US 10-year treasury yields are threatening to break above the critical level of 5.0%, sparking concerns about what that would mean for stocks.
  • With the Risk Gauge in 'Risk On', and inflation expectations safely in the equity. . .

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