While valuation is known to not be a very effective timing tool, at a certain point, it becomes so extreme that it does matter. This month, we dig into this, plus the current market environment, and prospects for a renewed inflation surge.
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video (MMC): “A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats.” (those with slack in their anchor line, at least)
March 23rd, 2024

David Lundgren, CMT CFA
Related Market Insights
Some of Our Latest Commentary
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “First Oversold Breadth Since March.”
Highlights Market internals have reached their first oversold reading since March, yet the S&P 500 remains only modestly lower...so much
September 21st, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Semis Showing Relative Strength.”
Highlights The U.S. market is increasingly oversold, but bullish LT and MT structure remains intact, creating a setup we view
September 21st, 2026
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Process vs. Prognostication.”
Highlights Headlines are worrisome and bearish prognosticators are embracing them with gusto. With the Risk Gauge still in Risk On,
September 14th, 2026
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Oversold at the Market Level.”
Highlights Despite rising macro and geopolitical risks, the U.S. MOTR Risk Gauge remains 'Risk On' in the long and medium
September 14th, 2026
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Impact of 10-yr Treasury Yields Above 5.0%.”
Highlights The 40-year secular bull market in bonds ended in 2020 when 10-year sovereign bonds persistently traded with negative yields.
September 11th, 2026
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mega Caps Faltering vs Small Caps.”
Highlights Despite widespread concerns about rates, oil, deficits, valuations, and seasonal weakness, the equally weighted MOTR Risk Gauge remains broadly
September 08th, 2026