Risk is greatest when we all understand why the market is doing what it is doing. Right now, with most confounded by why the market has been so strong, the risk of a top seems low to us.
Monthly MOTR Checkup Video: “When is it ever not confusing? At the TOP!”
August 18th, 2023
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Some of Our Latest Commentary
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Process vs. Prognostication.”
Highlights Headlines are worrisome and bearish prognosticators are embracing them with gusto. With the Risk Gauge still in Risk On,
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “Oversold at the Market Level.”
Highlights Despite rising macro and geopolitical risks, the U.S. MOTR Risk Gauge remains 'Risk On' in the long and medium
Charting My Interruption (CMI): “The Impact of 10-yr Treasury Yields Above 5.0%.”
Highlights The 40-year secular bull market in bonds ended in 2020 when 10-year sovereign bonds persistently traded with negative yields.
Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Mega Caps Faltering vs Small Caps.”
Highlights Despite widespread concerns about rates, oil, deficits, valuations, and seasonal weakness, the equally weighted MOTR Risk Gauge remains broadly
Weekly Risk Gauge (WRG): “ST Downticks, Looking for Pullbacks.”
Highlights Major indices posted a second consecutive week of slight gains, while the Short-Term Risk Gauge downticked. Health Care continued
Monthly MOTR Checkup (MMC): “Keep Calm and Carry On!”
“Keep Calm and Carry On!” Despite all the macro concerns, and even with the impending seasonal market weakness of September,