Charting My Interruption (CMI): “It’s Either a Crisis or It’s Not. We Think Not.”

Highlights

  • Today's downside volatility surge with the S&P still above its 200-day average is a relatively rare behavior. 
  • Nonetheless, it has happened before, and on average, forward returns have tended to be well above average.
  • With the Risk Gauge still in good shape in the medium- and long-term, we therefore want to resist the temptation to sell this weakness. 
  • This is especially so since only 8% of the

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