Weekly MOTR Report (WMR): “Friday’s Volatility Spike Was an Average ‘Freakout’.”

Highlights

  • On Friday, the VIX index surged 59% from Thursday's close to Friday's high, before settling in with a 25.82% gain.
  • While large, the move was actually 'average' compared to the fear gauge's past 'freakout' episodes.
  • More importantly, forward returns following similar volatility spikes in the past have actually been well above average.
  • All of this adds to our thesis that a) we are likely in for a volatile corrective period leading up to the elections, and b. . .

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